The Atlantic Hurricane Season began June 1st.
For many in the east, these massive storms mean boarding up windows, procuring
generators, and inevitably – cleaning up afterwards. But, hurricanes
also produce a lot of rain, wind, & damage to businesses and
homes.
Mother Nature's way of distributing heat ... can pack a
powerful punch. As many eastern North Carolinians know - hurricanes
are formed first, off the African coast as the ocean heats water up to 80
degrees or higher. With temperatures rising during the summer
months, the Atlantic becomes a breeding ground for tropical
weather. Tom Crane, a meteorologist for the National Weather Service
in Newport has found a pattern resulting from the Atlantic oceans rising
temperatures and the increasing numbers of hurricanes.
“Starting in the mid-90’s, we had an above normal number
of hurricanes forming, and we’re expecting that this year," reported Crane. " The
forecast is for above normal activity, this is the 11 of the past 13 years the
forecast has been for above normal activity. For actual numbers that
are going to form, NOAA is putting out for named storms, that includes both
tropical storms and hurricanes—13 to 17. Now, the normal number is about
10. The normal number over the last decade had been about
13. So we're going with about 13 to 17, so that is above normal.”
Crane adds, these predictions have nothing to do with how
many of those potential hurricanes or storms could make landfall, and advises
residents of Eastern North Carolina to always be prepared for a hurricane to
strike each season. Ed Jenkins is the manager of the planning
support branch for the North Carolina division of emergency management, and
says that because of an increase in frequency and severity of hurricanes, now
is not too early to start preparing.
“First of all, is a communication plan. If they
are in a area that is a floodplain, they need to have a communication plan so if
they do evacuate, they can call somebody and let them know where they’re
going. Secondly, they need to have a kit to take with them—first of
all, they need to have a supply of food and water in their house, probably on
the order of three to seven days worth of food and water that they can get by
on. Also, a radio, a battery operated radio, I think a camera is
also good to document any problems that their having that may need to file a
claim for insurance. And then prescription drugs. If
anyone in the house [needs prescription drugs], they need a full supply to have
in their kits. And I would say sufficient gasoline in their
car. One of the things we saw when people evacuated two years ago in
the Gulf Coast was they allowed their cars to run out of fuel.”
Being prepared for a hurricane could be especially
important this season. This week, Governor Mike Easley informed North
Carolinians that the state’s disaster team could handle all storms up to a category
three hurricane. A key member of that team, the N.C. National Guard,
is short of equipment and stretched thin by troop deployments to Iraq and
elsewhere. Even though the team isn’t working at its full potential,
Jenkins is confident that the current disaster team will be sufficient, and if
a severe hurricane arises, help will come from other sources.
“And really through the compact that states sign up to,
should we need additional resources, we have other states that are backing us
up with their equipment and people And probably deploying
forward as events unfold will be FEMA, they will have communications, primarily
communications and resources that will be in place near by, not in the theater
where the hurricane may hit. Obviously, we don’t want to deploy
people and equipment into a threatened area, but certainly just out side of it
so that we can shortly get in and take care as events unfold.”
Frederick Moritz is a New Bern resident, and is a Public
Radio East storm watcher. Moritz already has an evacuation plan in
place in the event of severe weather.
"I have a strategy where I have a climate-controlled
storage rented. As the warnings come more intensely, I can put
additional stuff there if I want to. And then I have an escape plan
where I take my computer and put my paintings in plastic trash bags and
relocate to a hotel.”
Although Moritz is prepared for a storm, he believes
people can become overly anxious about hurricane season.
“The worst thing is that everyone talks about it so
much. You know, that you have this generalized state of anxiety
about when its it going to happen, how bad is it going to be, and there’s the
back drop of Katrina, and now we have all this incredible warning system, but
the down side to that is that there’s always a feeling of danger in the air.”
But, that feeling of apprehension may be
warranted… A new analysis from University of Central Florida
statistics professor Mark Johnson and Georgia researcher Chuck Watson puts
Carteret County at the top of the list of locations in the nation most likely to
be struck with hurricane force winds. Of the top 20 counties at the
highest risk along the Atlantic and Gulf Coast, eight are in North Carolina.
Above all, meteorologist Tom Crane says it always pays to be knowledgeable when
it comes to hurricane season.
“Wind is an obvious hazard. So if you have a
lot of big trees around your house, and wind could blow a tree over on your
house, wind could be a problem for you. If you live on the beach,
storm surge is an issue. Or you live on the shores of one of our
rivers that come inland, like say the Neuse River or the Tar
River. Anywhere in Eastern North Carolina, heavy rain is an issue
and that results in inland flooding. We have a substantial number of
deaths each year that a hurricane makes landfall due to inland flooding or
rainfall flooding, not storm surge, but just from the rainfall. And
when the actual hurricane is moving through, there are also tornado threats to
go along with it. So think about those and if any of those- well
some of those are undoubtedly going to have an effect on everybody in Eastern
North Carolina.”
Jared Brumbaugh