|
Do you have pictures from a hurricane that impacted North Carolina? If so, email them to Public Radio East! They could end up on our website. |
|
| 2008 Hurricane Season Outlook |
What can North Carolina Expect for the 2008 Hurricane Season? Read the National Weather Service/NOAA Hurricane Season Outlook!
Forecasters say we’re in
for an above average hurricane season this year. Before the official start of hurricane season, Tropical storm
Alma struck land along the northwest corner of Nicaragua with maximum
sustained winds of 65 miles per hour. A
hurricane is an intense, rotating, oceanic weather system that possesses
maximum sustained winds exceeding 74 miles per hour. John Cole, a meteorologist with the
National Weather Service in Newport says most hurricanes originate off the
coast of Africa generally out of an easterly wave.
We
get about 100 of these waves off the coast of Africa; about 10 percent develop
per year. So we have an average of
about 10 named storms per year…ten or eleven now. We’ve actually been more active over the past 10 to 12 years.
Hurricanes
are categorized to show the intensity
of wind speed, central barometric pressure, and storm surge. This system of measuring is known as the
Saffir-Simpson scale. The
scale was developed in 1971 by civil engineer Herbert Saffir and meteorologist
Bob Simpson, who at the time was director of the U.S. National Hurricane
Center.
We actually name tropical systems when they obtain wind speeds of 39 to 73
miles per hour, and the Hurricane Center will name these systems. When the
storm reaches 74 miles per hour, and has a distinctive rotary circulation, then
we categorize with the Saffir-Simpson scale, from category 1 thru category
5. Category 1 and 2 hurricanes are
weaker hurricanes, a category 3,4, and 5 are considered major hurricanes with
sustained winds over 110 miles per hour.
The names of hurricanes are chosen by the World Organization
and they’re re-cycled about every four years, that is… if they aren’t
retired.
Storms
like Isabelle that had an impact on the east coast, including North Carolina
are retired. Storms like Fran, like
Camille, Katrina, you won’t see anymore because those storm names are retired.
The
National Weather Service announced a near normal or above normal hurricane season in
the Atlantic Basin this year. Cole says
they are monitoring La Nina conditions around the tropics of the eastern
Pacific Ocean. He says the Pacific
is going to be transitioning into neutral conditions, where the ocean is going
from colder water temperatures, to normal conditions.
And what that spells for
us, is a more active hurricane season for the Atlantic waters. During the opposite effect, El Nino, where
you have warmer than normal water temperatures in the eastern Pacific, and that
tends to cause shearing winds across the genesis areas of the Atlantic
hurricane basin. So you get a lot of
shearing that knocks the tops off of thunderstorms not allowing them to grow. So you have less activity during El Nino
years. This year, we’re not expecting that.
We’re expecting more favorable atmosphere for the development of
tropical cyclones.
NOAA released their
forecast for 2008 calling for 12 to 16 named storms. Of those named systems, it is predicted that six to nine will
develop into hurricanes, and 2 to 5 into major hurricanes. These storms bring large amounts of rain and
powerful winds to eastern North Carolina, but the most devastating effect of
hurricanes for us is storm surge. Storm
surge is water that is pushed toward the shore by the force of the winds
swirling around the storm. Cole says out of all the threats associated with tropical
weather, storm surge is the number one cause of deaths.
Fresh water flooding has
taken more lives in the past 20 to 30 years.
And we only have to go back to 1999, with hurricane Floyd. We lost 13 people in our county warning area
alone, over 50 people perished from hurricane Floyd mainly related to the
freshwater flooding effects, and that was a category 2 hurricane that made
landfall here in north Carolina.
In
an active hurricane season, it’s a good idea to start preparing as soon as
possible. If you plan to ride out the
storm, Cole recommends making a kit with non-perishable food, extra batteries,
flashlights, money, extra medications, a radio, and a gallon of water for each
person for 3 to 4 days. If your plan is
to evacuate inland, make sure that you have an evacuation route and destination
scheduled ahead of time. Cole says not
to return home until you receive notification that it’s safe.
Make
sure you don’t go into flooded areas.
One of the slogans in the National weather service is “turn around,
don’t drown.” We loose a lot of people
after the fact, down lines, electrocutions a lot of people have lost their
lives like that.
For all your weather
information including 24-hour coverage during hurricanes, listen to Public
Radio East on 89.3, 88.5, 91.5, 90.3, and 88.1 FM.
|
| The PRE Hurricane Kit! |
Here are just a few items PRE is sure to include in its hurricane kit. Some other suggestions can be found here.
|
| Anatomy of a Hurricane |
Preparing for major storms makes all the difference. Some times it could mean the difference
between life and death. Tropical weather can be prepared for. And plans can be laid out well ahead of any
advisories. But to understand a
hurricane, you must know the basics first.
John Cole, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Newport
explains how hurricanes form…
Hurricanes develop from easterly waves in
general. About 100 come off the African
Coast, and 10% develop into tropical cyclones.
And that would be depressions, tropical storms, hurricanes, and so
basically a hurricane is a low pressure area in the atmosphere that rotates
counter-clock wise.
Around the
African coast is where we look at for tropical activity. Warm water temperatures especially around
this time of the year make conditions ripe for tropical weather that could very
well turn into a hurricane.
If the upper level conditions are right, that is if you have
very minimal sheering winds in the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere, you
can get updrafts within those thunderstorms and you can get a circulation that
develops because of a force known as the Coriolis force. So you get a low-pressure system developing,
first its weak. It’s a tropical
depression with winds up to 39 mph. And
then as it intensifies, it gets a more distinct rotary circulation, and the
winds increase to 39 to 73 mph. And
that’s when the National Hurricane Center in Miami names the systems. And then when it develops winds of 74 mph or
greater, then it’s a hurricane it’s categorized by the Saffir-Simpson
scale.
The
Saffir-Simpson scale is a 1-5 rating used to measure the intensity of a
hurricane. It’s used to give an estimate of the potential property damage and
flooding expected along the coast- from a hurricane landfall. A category 1 or 2 hurricane is generally
thought of as a fairly weak hurricane.
But Cole says that low number could be
misleading.
We had an impact from a category 2 hurricane, Isabelle, up
here in North Carolina, that had been a category 5 hurricane, and this
particular hurricane was very large. So
the impact on the water area was significant, with significant surge, and it
still had 100 mph sustained winds, so a category 2 hurricane can be very
significant.
No matter the size of a hurricane, Cole says
it’s always good to be prepared.
You need to prepare early in the season. And I would say one
of the main things is to have a disaster supplies kit already assembled prior to
the hurricane season. But it’s not too
late to do that now. But have enough
supplies. Enough water for 3-5 days,
enough food supplies, non-perishable foods for that same length of time, plenty
of medicine if you require that, have your car gassed up, you need to acquire
the cash well in advance because the ATM machines are going to go down, you
know, with the loss of electricity. Have
a plan of action. Know where your family
is going to go, know your evacuation routes, tell other family members or
friends where you are going, so they can keep track of you as well.
Cole says that everyone should have a designated
hurricane kit. In the kit, you’ll want
snacks, games for when the lights go out, flashlights, bug spray, fresh
batteries, and a radio—so you can keep track as Public Radio East provides
continuous storm coverage. The wind
that comes with hurricanes and tropical storms can cause a significant amount of damage. Since eastern North Carolina
is surrounded by large bodies of water, our geography makes us vulnerable to
storm surge. Storm surge occurs when water is pushed
toward the shore by the force of the winds swirling around the storm. John Cole considers storm
surge to be the main threat to coastal
areas.
We have a unique situation here in North Carolina,
where we do have to worry about surge along the sounds, as well, and water level
rises along the sounds. With Hurricane
Isabelle, level rises in Adams and Clubfoot Creek, Down East Carteret County,
Craven County, went to 10 to 11 feet, and we had a 6 to 8 foot storm surge on
the outer banks from a category 2 hurricane making landfall in Down East
Carteret County. So, storm surge is one
of the biggest factors I think still has the potential of taking more lives than
any other treat of a hurricane.
Even though
storm surge is potentially the most dangerous to those along the coast, the
biggest threat to the majority of the region is the heavy rains that come with
hurricanes.
The last 30 years, more lives have been lost from
inland freshwater flooding, than from any other threat from hurricanes. We lost over 50 lives in North Carolina from
Hurricane Floyd in 1999, with the river flooding and fresh water flooding
effects.
So far this
year, eastern North Carolina hasn’t seen much tropical weather. Two forecasters at Colorado State University
lowered their storm predictions numbers for the 2007 Atlantic Hurricane
season. Cole says there’s still time
left in the season, and more storms could
occur.
This year we’re expecting a much above normal year. The predictions from NOAA are now 13 to 16
named storms, seven to nine hurricanes, and of those hurricanes, we expect three
to five hurricanes to become major hurricanes with winds over 110 mph. Everyone’s expecting a very active year, of
course we’re already up to storm number five now.
Knowing how
a hurricane works, what to look out for, and how to prepare for a hurricane can
ensure the safety of you and your family during the severe weather event. For updates and information on closings and
delays, severe weather updates, and weather advisories, stay tuned to Public Radio East and visit our website www.publicradioeast.org
Jared
Brumbaugh |
| Providing Emergency Shelter For Our Pets |
With about 73 million pet dogs and approximately 90 million
claimed cats in the United States, it’s no wonder that legislation was
implemented to provide pets with shelter in emergency evacuations. In October
of 2006, the Stafford Act was passed giving FEMA responsibility for coordinating government wide
relief efforts. The bill was in
response to the situation along the Gulf Coast following Hurricane Katrina when
many pets were seperated from their owners, or in some cases, the owners didn’t
evacuate because of their pets. Since
then, polices have been put into place requiring facilitys to hold both pets
and their owners. Alan Smith,
Carteret County Emergency Services Director, says the passing of the Stafford
Act required the county to establish a pet friendly shelter. With the support of other organizations, the
county is working to provide space that is clean, safe, and properly run.
“We have a partnership with a couple of
different organizations, PAWS being one, as well as the Carteret County Humane Society. Our primary shelter, which is located at Newport Middle School,
this year will also have a pet wing that will allow those evacuees who have
domesticated animals to re-register and provide information to us so we can
accept their pets during an evacuation process.”
Most counties will utilize volunteers to feed and care for
animals. But Norman Bryson, Assistant
manager of Onslow County Emergency Services, says in the event of a hurricane
or other natural disaster, the county will provide shelter for people and their
pets, but will not use volunteer staff to help.
“It allows for people who have dogs,
cats, birds…anything of that nature to come in. They have to be prepared.
They have to bring their own food, and leashes, and be prepared to walk
the animal. Its not a situation where
they can come in, drop off their animal, ads expect someone else to take care
of it. The humans have to be housed at the same location as their animals are.” ording to Bryson,
Frank Moritz is a Stormwatcher for Public Radio
East. He normally evacuates to a hotel
in severe weather, but now says he may take advantage of a local shelter in his
area.
“I might consider changing my plan and
going to a shelter instead of a hotel. The last time I went to a hotel, the lighting went off three times
and where as at my mobile home, it never went off. So I would certainly consider some other course of action for
myself and my dog.
Paul VanHemel is also a Stormwatcher with Public Radio
East. He says he probably won’t use a
shelter, but he’s ready to evacuate with his pet.
“We have a little canvas bag that has a two or three day supply of dog food in
a Ziploc bag, couple of plastic bowls, chain so if we have to steak him out
some place, and we also have an extra set of leashes in the bag. So when it
comes time for us to travel, we just grab the canvas, shopping bag looking
thing, and take off with the dog… it’s all preplanned.”
Roger Dail is the Emergency Services Director for Lenoir
County. He advocates a solid plan like VanHemel’s and suggests a strategy that
puts the pet owner in control, one that leaves emergency pet shelters open for
those without other means.
Dail encourages the
public to make prior arrangements for their pets, and use the shelter at a last
resort. He suggests that you contact your local veterinarian office, and see if
they’ll have room to board your pet,or
you could send you pet to a family member maybe further into the
state.
Every shelter has different requirements. For information on the emergency evacuation
plan for your area, contact your County Emergency Manager’s Office.
Jared Brumbaugh.
|
|
| 2008 Atlantic Storm Names |
Arthur Bertha Christobal Dolly Edouard Fay Gustav Hanna Ike Josephine Kyle Laura Marco Nana Omar Paloma Rene Sally Teddy Vicky Wilfred
Source: National Hurricane Center |
| ENC Weather |
Kinston/Goldsboro
Atlantic Beach/Beaufort
|
|